Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
10%
MediumconfidenceCastellón are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Levante are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Friendlies Clubs, favouring a draw with 10.4% confidence, a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
24.4%
Model confidence
10.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CastellónDLDWW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LevanteLLWWW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CastellónLevante
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.88xG1.60