GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Cascavel are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Santa Catarina are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Catarina hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CascavelDLLWD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Santa CatarinaLDWDL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
CascavelSanta Catarina
33.3Attack47.2
77.8Defence69.4
44.4Form58.3
52.7Power60.1
0.64xG0.64
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