GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 6/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Cascavel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Marcílio Dias are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.7 against 54.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

54.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CascavelLDWLW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Marcílio DiasDLDWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CascavelMarcílio Dias
33.3Attack33.3
77.8Defence73.8
44.4Form50.0
52.7Power54.5
0.56xG0.44
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