GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cascavel · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Cascavel are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Guarany de Bagé are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cascavel hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 24.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.5% in the Serie D, while Cascavel holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cascavel

Probability

61.5%

Model confidence

61.5%

Cascavel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CascavelDWDLL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Guarany de BagéDLLWW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CascavelGuarany de Bagé
33.3Attack6.7
77.8Defence40.0
44.4Form13.3
52.7Power24.3
1.39xG0.29
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