GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 7/25/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chicago Fire II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Carolina Core are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Chicago Fire II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire II hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (42.0 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the MLS Next Pro, while Chicago Fire II holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chicago Fire II

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Chicago Fire II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Carolina CoreWDLWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Chicago Fire IILWDDW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
46.4Attack68.2
42.0Defence48.5
33.3Form50.0
42.0Power55.0
1.51xG2.31
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