GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/7/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cardiff MET · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Carmarthen Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cardiff MET are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Cardiff MET hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (36.4 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Cardiff MET holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cardiff MET

Probability

36.0%

Model confidence

36.0%

Cardiff MET has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Carmarthen TownWLLWD

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Cardiff METWWDLW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Carmarthen TownCardiff MET
66.7Attack66.7
8.3Defence33.3
33.3Form33.3
36.4Power45.3
2.07xG2.09
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