Carmarthen TownvsCaerau (Ely)

Carmarthen Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Caerau (Ely) are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Carmarthen Town hold a 46.8-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.6% in the FAW Championship, while Carmarthen Town holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.