GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/14/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Carmarthen Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Carmarthen Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Afan Lido are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Carmarthen Town hold a 32.2-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.2% in the FAW Championship, while Carmarthen Town holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Carmarthen Town

Probability

54.8%

Model confidence

8.2%

Carmarthen Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Carmarthen TownWWLLW

GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Afan LidoWLLLW

GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Carmarthen TownAfan Lido
100.0Attack100.0
33.3Defence16.7
100.0Form50.0
83.3Power51.2
2.60xG1.71
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