Carmarthen Townvs
Afan Lido
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 8/14/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carmarthen Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Carmarthen Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Afan Lido are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Carmarthen Town hold a 32.2-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.2% in the FAW Championship, while Carmarthen Town holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Carmarthen Town
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
8.2%
Carmarthen Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40