GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 5/9/2026, 8:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Carlos A. Mannucci are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Union Comercio are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Comercio hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (58.4 v 68.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.5%

Model confidence

48.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Carlos A. MannucciLWDWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Union ComercioLWWWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Carlos A. MannucciUnion Comercio
39.4Attack40.0
72.7Defence93.3
60.6Form70.0
58.4Power68.5
0.63xG0.61
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