GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/28/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Carlisle · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Carlisle are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Salford City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Carlisle hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (60.5 v 56.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Carlisle holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Carlisle

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

49.9%

Carlisle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CarlisleWLWWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Salford CityWWLDW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
CarlisleSalford City
76.2Attack62.5
66.7Defence41.7
52.4Form58.3
60.5Power56.0
2.63xG1.33
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