Carlislevs
Salford City
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/28/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carlisle · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Carlisle are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Salford City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Carlisle hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (60.5 v 56.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Carlisle holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Carlisle
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Carlisle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80