GGOALVIO

England · League Cup · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cardiff · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cardiff are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 3.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Swindon Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.9 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the League Cup, while Cardiff holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cardiff

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Cardiff has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CardiffWWWLL

GF 19 · GA 14 · avg 3.80/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Swindon TownWWLLL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CardiffSwindon Town
77.8Attack33.3
11.1Defence66.7
44.4Form33.3
45.9Power45.3
1.77xG1.50
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