Cardiffvs
Swindon Town
COMPLETEDEngland · League Cup · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cardiff · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cardiff are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 3.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Swindon Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.9 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the League Cup, while Cardiff holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cardiff
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Cardiff has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 14 · avg 3.80/2.80
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20