GGOALVIO

Wales · Premier League · 8/1/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cardiff MET · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Cardiff MET are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Holywell are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cardiff MET hold a 57.9-point power-rating edge (73.4 v 15.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.1% in the Premier League, while Cardiff MET holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cardiff MET

Probability

70.1%

Model confidence

70.1%

Cardiff MET has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cardiff METDDWWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HolywellDDLWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Cardiff METHolywell
88.9Attack33.3
77.8Defence0.0
66.7Form0.0
73.4Power15.5
2.63xG0.92
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