GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cardiff MET · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Cardiff MET are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Afan Lido are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Cardiff MET hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Cardiff MET holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cardiff MET

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Cardiff MET has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cardiff METWDLWW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Afan LidoLWWWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cardiff METAfan Lido
66.7Attack0.0
33.3Defence0.0
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power7.0
2.26xG1.40
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