GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/15/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pontypridd Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Cardiff Draconians are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Pontypridd Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Pontypridd Town hold a 46.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the FAW Championship, while Pontypridd Town holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pontypridd Town

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

10.6%

Pontypridd Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cardiff DraconiansDLWDD

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Pontypridd TownWWDDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cardiff DraconiansPontypridd Town
0.0Attack100.0
83.3Defence33.3
16.7Form100.0
36.5Power83.3
1.56xG1.87
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