GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Metropolitanos FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Caracas FC are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Metropolitanos FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Metropolitanos FC hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Metropolitanos FC holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Metropolitanos FC

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

14.6%

Metropolitanos FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Caracas FCDLLDD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Metropolitanos FCWDLDD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Caracas FCMetropolitanos FC
33.3Attack0.0
48.1Defence100.0
37.0Form33.3
42.5Power45.3
0.93xG1.19
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