GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Caracas FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Caracas FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Independiente Petrolero are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Caracas FC hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 20.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Caracas FC holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Caracas FC

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

50.0%

Caracas FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Caracas FCLDWDW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente PetroleroDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Caracas FCIndependiente Petrolero
33.3Attack14.3
48.1Defence28.6
37.0Form4.8
42.5Power20.6
1.50xG0.79
View match centre →