Carabobo FCvs
Sporting Cristal
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 3/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Cristal · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Carabobo FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Sporting Cristal are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Cristal hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (19.5 v 25.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.3% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Sporting Cristal holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sporting Cristal
Probability
34.3%
Model confidence
34.3%
Sporting Cristal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20