GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Capital Brasilia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Capital Brasilia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Mixto are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Capital Brasilia hold a 23.1-point power-rating edge (69.0 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the Serie D, while Capital Brasilia holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Capital Brasilia

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

53.3%

Capital Brasilia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Capital BrasiliaDWLWW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MixtoDLWDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Capital BrasiliaMixto
52.4Attack30.6
81.0Defence66.7
71.4Form33.3
69.0Power45.9
1.21xG0.37
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