Capital BrasiliavsGoiatuba EC

Capital Brasilia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Goiatuba EC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Capital Brasilia hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (69.0 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.