Capital BrasiliavsCeilândia

Capital Brasilia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ceilândia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Capital Brasilia hold a 22.5-point power-rating edge (69.0 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.3% in the Serie D, while Capital Brasilia holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.