Capalabavs
St George Willawong
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland Premier League · 7/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Capalaba · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Capalaba are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.20 conceded, while St George Willawong are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 23.7 against 23.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Queensland Premier League, while Capalaba holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Capalaba
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Capalaba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20
GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40