Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
CAP are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mamoré are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Mamoré hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.0% in the Mineiro - 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
27.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/1.20