CAPvs
Guarani MG
COMPLETEDBrazil · Mineiro - 2 · 7/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
CAP are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Guarani MG are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Guarani MG hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Mineiro - 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20