Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
CAP are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while BOA are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and BOA hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Mineiro - 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60