Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cannes · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Cannes are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Fleury 91 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Ligue 3, while Cannes holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cannes
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
14.6%
Cannes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40