Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cannes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Cannes are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while AS Roma are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cannes hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (46.6 v 38.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Cannes holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cannes
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Cannes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40