GGOALVIO

Australia · Capital Territory NPL · 8/1/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tuggeranong United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4

Lowconfidence

Canberra Olympic are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Tuggeranong United are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tuggeranong United hold a 23.8-point power-rating edge (36.7 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.7% in the Capital Territory NPL, while Tuggeranong United holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tuggeranong United

Probability

56.2%

Model confidence

6.7%

Tuggeranong United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Canberra OlympicDWLLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Tuggeranong UnitedLWWWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Canberra OlympicTuggeranong United
68.5Attack82.5
7.4Defence31.6
31.5Form68.4
36.7Power60.5
2.96xG4.50
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