GGOALVIO

Australia · Capital Territory NPL · 6/28/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Canberra FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Canberra FC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tuggeranong United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Canberra FC hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (80.1 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.9% in the Capital Territory NPL, while Canberra FC holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Canberra FC

Probability

70.9%

Model confidence

70.9%

Canberra FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Canberra FCDWWWW

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Tuggeranong UnitedWLWLW

GF 12 · GA 15 · avg 2.40/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Canberra FCTuggeranong United
100.0Attack82.5
57.9Defence31.6
86.0Form68.4
80.1Power60.5
4.50xG1.91
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