Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cambuur · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Cambuur are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Utrecht are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cambuur hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (74.3 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Cambuur holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cambuur
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Cambuur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60