Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
11%
MediumconfidenceCambuur are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Excelsior are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Excelsior hold a 90.0-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Eredivisie, favouring a draw with 10.9% confidence, a 63% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
24.3%
Model confidence
10.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CambuurWLDDL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ExcelsiorWDWWD
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CambuurExcelsior
0.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
7.0Power97.0
1.31xG1.96