GGOALVIO

England · League One · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wigan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Cambridge United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Wigan are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Wigan hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (41.1 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.9% in the League One, while Wigan holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wigan

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

16.9%

Wigan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cambridge UnitedWDWLD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
WiganDLLDW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Cambridge UnitedWigan
28.3Attack45.7
55.8Defence59.4
34.8Form50.7
41.1Power53.7
0.71xG1.15
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