Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uberaba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Caldense are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Uberaba are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Uberaba hold a 29.8-point power-rating edge (34.4 v 64.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.8% in the Mineiro - 2, while Uberaba holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Uberaba
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
21.8%
Uberaba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80