CaldasvsLusitano Évora 1911

Caldas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lusitano Évora 1911 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Caldas hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Liga 3, while Caldas holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.