GGOALVIO

India · Calcutta Premier Division · 8/1/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mohun Bagan · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Calcutta Customs are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mohun Bagan are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mohun Bagan hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 66.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Calcutta Premier Division, while Mohun Bagan holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mohun Bagan

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

14.0%

Mohun Bagan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Calcutta CustomsDWLDW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Mohun BaganWWDWW

GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Calcutta CustomsMohun Bagan
61.9Attack61.9
61.9Defence81.0
52.4Form61.9
58.6Power66.7
1.22xG1.34
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