Caerphilly Athleticvs
Cardiff Draconians
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 8/7/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Caerphilly Athletic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Caerphilly Athletic are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Cardiff Draconians are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cardiff Draconians hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (26.2 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the FAW Championship, while Caerphilly Athletic holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Caerphilly Athletic
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Caerphilly Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/3.00
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80