GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/7/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Caerphilly Athletic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Caerphilly Athletic are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Cardiff Draconians are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cardiff Draconians hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (26.2 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the FAW Championship, while Caerphilly Athletic holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Caerphilly Athletic

Probability

36.0%

Model confidence

36.0%

Caerphilly Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Caerphilly AthleticL

GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/3.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
Cardiff DraconiansLWDDL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Caerphilly AthleticCardiff Draconians
0.0Attack0.0
50.0Defence83.3
16.7Form16.7
26.2Power36.5
1.51xG1.46
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