Caernarfon Townvs
Penybont
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 8/7/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Caernarfon Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Caernarfon Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Penybont are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Penybont hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Premier League, while Caernarfon Town holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Caernarfon Town
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Caernarfon Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80