GGOALVIO

Caernarfon Town logoCaernarfon TownvsColwyn Bay logoColwyn Bay

COMPLETED

Wales · Premier League · 8/15/2026, 4:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Colwyn Bay · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Caernarfon Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Colwyn Bay are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Colwyn Bay hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the Premier League, while Colwyn Bay holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Colwyn Bay

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

12.5%

Colwyn Bay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Caernarfon TownLWLLW

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Colwyn BayDWWLD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form66.7
53.0Power68.0
1.45xG1.54
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