Caerau (Ely)vsYnyshir Albions

Caerau (Ely) are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Ynyshir Albions are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ynyshir Albions hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the FAW Championship, while Ynyshir Albions holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.