CaenvsValenciennes

Caen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Valenciennes are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Caen hold a 90.0-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the Ligue 3, while Caen holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.