Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gobelins · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Caen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Gobelins are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gobelins hold a 60.8-point power-rating edge (11.2 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Gobelins holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gobelins
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Gobelins has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40