Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dieppe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Caen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Dieppe are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Dieppe hold a 34.2-point power-rating edge (11.2 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Dieppe holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dieppe
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Dieppe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40