Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cadiz · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Cadiz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Leicester are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cadiz hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Cadiz holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cadiz
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Cadiz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40