Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cadiz · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Cadiz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cordoba are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cadiz hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 36.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Cadiz holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cadiz
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Cadiz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20