Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cacereño · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cacereño are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Real Jaén are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cacereño hold a 27.5-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Cacereño holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cacereño
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Cacereño has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00