Caboolturevs
St George Willawong
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland Premier League · 4/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Caboolture · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Caboolture are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while St George Willawong are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Caboolture hold a 29.8-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 23.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.7% in the Queensland Premier League, while Caboolture holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Caboolture
Probability
83.7%
Model confidence
83.7%
Caboolture has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40