CA River Platevs
Rentistas
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 3/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rentistas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
CA River Plate are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Rentistas are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Rentistas hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Segunda División, while Rentistas holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rentistas
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Rentistas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80