CA River Platevs
Oriental
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 3/14/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oriental · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
CA River Plate are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Oriental are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Oriental hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Segunda División, while Oriental holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Oriental
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Oriental has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00