GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 8/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CA River Plate · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

CA River Plate are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Miramar are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and CA River Plate hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 43.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Segunda División, while CA River Plate holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CA River Plate

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

14.5%

CA River Plate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA River PlateWLDWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MiramarDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CA River PlateMiramar
45.6Attack31.6
45.6Defence57.9
43.9Form33.3
47.5Power43.2
1.25xG0.93
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