CA River Platevs
La Luz
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 6/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
CA River Plate are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while La Luz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.5 against 47.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40