Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
CA La Paz are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Durango are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00